in weekly |

Weekly#152

  • You probably know to ask yourself, “What do I want?” Here’s a way better question (QZ)
  • Cisco VNI IndexGlobal Mobile Data Traffic Shows No Signs of Slowing Down
    • By 2020:
      • Global mobile data traffic will reach 30.6 exabytes per month — up from 3.7 exabytes in 2015.
      • Annual global mobile data traffic will reach 366.8 exabytes — up from 44.2 exabytes in 2015.
    • The forecast annual run rate of 366.8 exabytes of mobile data traffic for 2020 is equivalent to:
      • 120X more than all global mobile traffic generated just 10 years ago in 2010.
      • 81 trillion images (e.g., MMS or Instagram) — 28 daily images per person on earth for a year.
      • 7 trillion video clips (e.g., YouTube) — more than 2.5 daily video clips per person on earth for a year.
    • From 2015 to 2020, global mobile data traffic will grow two times faster than global fixed IP traffic.
    • In 2015, 51 percent of total mobile data traffic was offloaded; by 2020, 55 percent of total mobile data traffic will be offloaded.
    • By 2020, over 75 percent of the world’s mobile data traffic will be video.

    Mobile Devices and Connections Are Getting Smarter

    • There will be 11.6 billion mobile-ready devices/connections — including 8.5 billion personal mobile devices and 3.1 billion M2M connections — up from 7.9 billion total mobile-ready devices and M2M connections in 2015.
    • Globally, 67 percent of mobile devices/connections will be ‘smart’ by 2020 — up from 36 percent in 2015.
    • Globally, 98 percent of mobile data traffic will come from ‘smart’ devices/connections by 2020 — up from 89 percent in 2015.
    • Smartphones, laptops, and tablets will drive about 92 percent of global mobile data traffic by 2020 — down from 94 percent in 2015. M2M traffic will represent 7 percent of global mobile data traffic by 2020 — up from 3 percent in 2015; while basic handsets will account for 1 percent of global mobile data traffic by 2020 — down from 3 percent in 2015.
    • By 2020:
      • 66 percent of mobile devices/connections will be IPv6-capable — up from 36 percent in 2015.
      • IPv6 traffic will be 54 percent of total mobile data traffic — up from 13 percent in 2015.

    Machine-to-Machine (M2M) Connections and Wearable Devices Continue to Rise
    M2M refers to applications that enable wireless and wired systems to communicate with other devices of the same ability (e.g., GPS/navigation, asset tracking, utility meters, security/surveillance video, healthcare monitoring, et al.). Wearable devices can be worn (e.g., smart watches and health monitors) and communicate to the network either directly via embedded cellular connectivity or through another device (primarily a smartphone) via Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, etc. Wearable devices are a subset of the M2M category in the forecast.

    • By 2020, M2M connections will represent 26.4 percent of mobile-connected devices — up from 7.7 percent in 2015.
    • By 2020, M2M connections will generate 6.7 percent of total mobile traffic — up from 2.7 percent in 2015.
    • Global wearables will grow six-fold from 2015 to 2020.
    • By 2020, there will be more than 600 million wearable devices in use, up from nearly 97 million in 2015.

    Mobile Network Speeds and 4G Connection Growth

    • Average global mobile network speeds will increase 3.2 fold from 2015 (2.0 Mbps) to 2020 (6.5 Mbps). Global 4G adoption is the primary catalyst for mobile speed improvements.
    • By 2020:
      • 4G connections will account for 40.5 percent of all mobile connections — up from 13.7 percent in 2015.
      • 3G connections will account for 38.7 percent of all mobile connections — up from 33.7 percent in 2015.
      • 2G connections will account for 13.5 percent all mobile connections — down from 52.3 percent in 2015.
    • 4G traffic will grow 13-fold from 2015 to 2020.
    • By 2020, 4G connections will account for 72 percent of total mobile data traffic — up from 47 percent of total mobile data traffic in 2015.

    Wi-Fi Hotspots Are Growing

    • Globally, total Wi-Fi hotspots, including home spots, will grow 7X from 2015 (64 million) to 2020 (432 million). Globally, home spots will grow from 57 million (2015) to 423 million (2020).
    • In 2015, monthly Wi-Fi offload traffic (3.9 exabytes) exceeded monthly mobile/cellular traffic (3.7 exabytes) for the first time.
    • By 2020, 38.1 exabytes Wi-Fi offload traffic will be generated each month, continuing to exceed projected monthly mobile/cellular traffic (30.6 exabytes).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Published